Comparison of J₂ variations derived from satellite laser ranging (SLR) and VLBI.We determine the Earth’s dynamical flattening from celestial intermediate pole coordinates constructed using the IAU 2006/2000 precession-nutation model and VLBI celestial pole offsets. The method accounts for the dependence of several precession-rate components and the main nutation term on dynamical flattening, providing a consistent estimate for precession and nutation. We obtain a dynamical flattening of 0.00327380936 with a formal uncertainty of $5 \times 10^{-11}$, differing from the IAU 2006 adopted value by approximately 4.54 ppm. The simultaneously estimated frame-bias components agree with the IAU model. A sliding-window analysis also recovers a broadly parabolic long-term variation in J₂, generally consistent with independent satellite laser ranging results.
Background and method
The Earth’s dynamical flattening, $H_{\mathrm d}$, describes the distribution of its principal moments of inertia and is a fundamental parameter in precession-nutation theory:
$$ H_{\mathrm d}=1-\frac{A+B}{2C}, $$
where $A$ and $B$ are the equatorial principal moments of inertia and $C$ is the axial moment.
We estimate this parameter directly from celestial intermediate pole (CIP) coordinates obtained by combining the IAU 2006/2000 precession-nutation model with VLBI celestial pole offsets. The analysis considers four individual analysis-centre series and the IERS C04 combined series, with free core nutation removed before fitting.
The method explicitly accounts for the dependence of several precession-rate contributions and the main nutation term on $H_{\mathrm d}$, while incorporating additional theoretical corrections. This provides a consistent determination of dynamical flattening within the precession-nutation framework.
Main results
These results demonstrate the value of VLBI precession-nutation observations as an independent probe of long-term changes in the Earth’s dynamical figure and provide observational constraints for further refinement of Earth-rotation models.