Spatial distribution of the positional uncertainty due to plate-constant variance (σ_pcv) in the selected fiducial field of view (Pixel 47), containing eight reference stars.Stellar-aberration-based autonomous navigation requires milliarcsecond-level angular measurements, making astrometric calibration an important part of its error budget. Using Gaia DR3 reference stars, HEALPix all-sky sampling, and covariance propagation to J2026.0, we evaluate the plate-solution uncertainty of nine polynomial plate models under a representative approximately one-degree sparse-field configuration. For the adopted G < 10 mag sample, the four-parameter linear model gives the lowest plate-constant variance, with a median positional uncertainty of 0.95 mas and a 95th percentile of 1.7 mas. Its low variance does not imply that it adequately corrects nonlinear optical distortion. A first-order conversion gives an approximate velocity-error scale of 0.9–2.5 m/s, highlighting the need to include plate-solution uncertainty and residual distortion bias explicitly in StarNAV error budgets and navigation filters.
Motivation and approach
Stellar-aberration-based navigation (StarNAV) estimates spacecraft velocity from velocity-induced changes in the apparent angular separations between stars. Achieving metre-per-second velocity sensitivity requires milliarcsecond-level angular measurements, so uncertainty in the transformation from focal-plane coordinates to celestial directions must be assessed alongside sensor noise and astrometric catalog errors.
We select 477,502 Gaia DR3 stars with $G<10$ mag and propagate their positions and covariances to J2026.0. Using HEALPix with $N_{\mathrm{side}}=64$, we divide the sky into 49,152 fields of approximately $0.84,\mathrm{deg}^{2}$ each, representing the adopted approximately one-degree field scale. The median field contains about eight reference stars. We compare nine plate models to quantify the effects of model complexity, reference-star density, and spatial distribution on plate-solution uncertainty.
Main results
The velocity conversion is an order-of-magnitude estimate of the plate-solution contribution, not a prediction or lower bound for the complete navigation solution. Future StarNAV systems should jointly account for plate-solution uncertainty, residual distortion bias, measurement geometry, sensor noise, and catalog errors.